Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Pressure from all sides


Im in middle of too many things. I didn't intend it that way and had planned, as best as I could, well ahead and made appropriate arrangements as well. However, due to laxity from some people, who don't even exhibit any iota of professionalism and gullibility of me/appa/mummy, all things are boiling in the same time.

The pressures I face are so much and I really wish some support in getting things done. Actually, for the people to do what they ought to do and not take us for ride. Phew....



Beyond that, wish I have some where to express and get some much needed respite too. Alas, guess Im destined to be a loser on this front for life.

Friday, May 30, 2014

A New World Order





I have been telling some of my friends and peers recently that the new world order is taking place and the power, influence and control of the world that US exerts would be distributed, rightly so, to other rising powers (parts) of the world in the next few decades. US has enjoyed the influence since world war 2 and with the acceptance of dollar as international trade currency, kick-started the dollar craze across the world. The dollar craze led to many economical changes, good and bad, across the world and none so spectacular than the valuation of the US dollar for all these years. This high valuation of dollar led to the rapid rise of the US economy since the world war 2 and gave US extra-ordinary leverage across the world, economically and politically. While the use of dollar as international currency had some minuscule disadvantages for the US in resulting in rising cost of living due to appreciation of dollar, the economical advantage led US to strengthen an already powerful army it possessed during the world war 2 days to insane levels of military might as of today.

Things are beginning to change now. The rise of China as economic powerhouse with it's dogged determination and discipline has resulted in early signs of the shift in world order - one super power to multiple powers. Alongside china, India, Russia, Brazil and South Africa, popularly known as BRICS, are also exhibiting greater economic progress and in some cases, much better management of economic and social indicators than US, which allowed market economics the free-hand. While there is nothing wrong in market economics as it's objectives are to maximize the Societal surplus ( Consumer surplus + Producer surplus), sometimes, very conspicuously as well, it has led to situations only where producer surplus is maximized. As societal surplus is just summation of consumer and producer surplus, it doesn't effectively capture whose surplus is maximized as long as societal surplus is greater. However, that is not the right way to go about it coz if Consumer's (common people) surplus is zero and Producer's (Corporations, in general, business) surplus is 100, it leads to lopsided growth. 


I had deviated from topic of changing world order to talk little bit about the economics concepts I studied recently coz I see the change in world order in this spectrum as well - excessive producer surplus to more equal consumer and producer surplus. I know very little of economics but I believe that when in doubt, always implement policies that maximizes Consumer surplus first, then look at producer surplus. Again, this is not to say the policies being implemented in the rising powers or the rest of the world is much better at maximizing the consumer surplus (Or) the US and some other market based western economies are solely focused on market based principles only - far from it. However, such a change is required and will result in new world order that is equal as well. Equality or the lack of it in the world is a different topic that I will write about in future.

A very good speech by President Obama and his pragmatic foreign policy outline which takes in to account the developments of the world: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fG_hX_XM4Ks

Good articles that prompted me to write this blog: 
http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/the-end-of-american-world-order/article6058148.ece

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/brics-and-the-responsibility-while-protecting-concept/article2985190.ece

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Indian Economy - Rajan clarifies


Rajan at CNN Money
Rajan - Governor of Reserve Bank of India


Although I didn't have access to the numbers such as GDP/Debt, GDP/external debt of India or didnt look for it, I've always believed what Rajan outlines very clearly in the video below. How and why do I believe - a country of 1.3 billion, with the highest percentage of youth population in the world and a vibrant domestic economy, cannot but have a sustainable development if not for some blunt missteps. And, I haven't seen anything that I would think as "Major" blunt missteps by Indian government. 

India and it's companies can make a "world" of profit if they can target just the indian market alone (much of the world wants to come in and asks for cheaper access to markets but will not invest in infrastructure for that cheaper access - c'mon big box retailers? ) and not worry about any other market. Of-course, there are problems of graft, inefficient bureaucracy and lack of clarity in industrial sector's policies - these issues are prevalent in most economies, the question is of the scale of it. And, laws such as RTI, Lok Pal (weak or not weak) and recent scam revelations will, I hope, deter people from raping countries wealth any further. Again, all these doesn't take away the fundamentals that support a strong sustainable growth for India. 

And, I'm glad about the changes mentioned by Rajan in the video below - a shift from consumption based economy to Investment/infrastructure based economy. The changes along with few unfortunate missteps by govt, will slow us down, but also sets us for a higher future growth that can be sustained and weather any economical storm. Hello, we weathered through the 2008 financial crisis not coz of super management or tax concession or govt funded buyout, but coz of regulation that are well thought out long time ago. I hope this wisdom of being a touch too conservative and stronger in regulation continues than pay for the missteps of companies/corporations later. I also support Indian government for not doing much 'further' help to Kingfisher airlines and let it go through the motions - it's a badly run company and should face consequences. And, airline industry is showing signs of being vibrant with Tata-Airasia deal, Tata-Singapore airlines deal and Jet-Ethihad deal.

India has "PR" problem - not an "unmanageable" financial problem